Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Opinion Polls - BJP’s NDA Predicted to Cross '400 Mark', INDIA Alliance Projected to Stop at 105

In the run-up to the Lok Sabha elections 2024, an opinion poll conducted by News18 has predicted a commanding lead for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA). According to the Lok Sabha elections 2024 opinion polls, the NDA is on track to secure an impressive victory, projected to win 411 seats out of the 543 available in the Lok Sabha. The poll suggests that the BJP alone is anticipated to win around 300 seats, while its allies, including the JD (U) and TDP, are expected to secure a combined total of 61 seats.

Contrarily, the opposition bloc INDIA is anticipated to fall short, securing only 105 seats, with Congress projected to win 49 seats. If these predictions hold true, it could mark Congress' second-worst performance in Indian general elections 2024, following its historic low of 44 seats in 2014, as highlighted by recent Election opinion polls.

The opinion poll predicts major gains for BJP in states like Maharashtra, West Bengal, Karnataka, Gujarat, Telangana, Odisha, and Uttar Pradesh. In Maharashtra, the NDA is expected to secure 41 out of 48 seats, while in West Bengal, BJP is forecasted to win 25 seats out of 42, indicating a decline for the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress. These projections are part of the broader BJP-led NDA election projections, indicating a potentially dominant performance in the upcoming elections.

Similarly, in Karnataka, BJP is predicted to repeat its 2019 performance by winning 25 out of 28 seats, with Congress trailing with only three seats. Gujarat is expected to witness another clean sweep by BJP, securing all 26 seats, as seen in the previous elections. These Lok Sabha seat projections signify BJP’s continued popularity and support among voters, shaping the political landscape significantly.

In Telangana, BJP is projected to win 8 out of 17 seats, showcasing significant gains, while in Odisha, BJP is expected to win 13 seats, surpassing the ruling BJD's tally of eight seats. Uttar Pradesh, with 80 parliamentary seats, is set for an NDA landslide victory, securing 77 seats, while the opposition INDIA bloc is forecasted to win merely two seats, with one seat going to the Bahujan Samajwadi Party (BSP). These forecasts highlight the critical role of political party alliances in elections in shaping the competitive landscape and influencing the distribution of parliamentary seats.

Moreover, in Assam, BJP is predicted to sweep with 12 out of 14 seats, leaving none for Congress, while in Uttarakhand, BJP is expected to repeat its 2019 clean sweep by winning all five seats, with a substantial vote share of 62%. This political party performance analysis testifies the dominant position of the BJP in these states and the impact of its electoral strategies on the outcomes.

These opinion polls results offer insights into the potential electoral landscape, setting the stage for a highly anticipated Lok Sabha election in 2024.