6.5% avg GDP growth forecast for next decade: Morgan Stanley
US investment banking major sees huge room for growth in export sector
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New Delhi: India is set for a 6.5 per cent annual growth rate for the next decade and can clock higher growth if the industrial and export sectors expand at a much faster pace, US investment banking company Morgan Stanley said in a report on Tuesday. The investment banking firm said that India has huge room for growth in the export sector, which can be boosted through a comprehensive reform package.
Analysts had earlier reported that India’s economy is set to grow faster at 6.5 per cent in FY2026 GDP, up from the previous expectation of 6 per cent, due to GST reforms. Morgan Stanley also concurred with this view, saying, “In our base case, India’s GDP will grow at this rate over the coming decade, one of the fastest-growing economies globally.” Morgan Stanley cited studies that have shown that every job created by manufacturing exports creates two other jobs in related sectors like transportation and logistics. In this context, India presents a significant opportunity to enhance its export market share, which currently stands at 1.8 per cent, a figure significantly lower than its weight in terms of working-age population and GDP.
